Frank Cass Publishers
Contemporary
Security Policy
ISSN: 1352-3260
The end of the Cold War has radically
altered the ways in which security is perceived and pursued. Contemporary
Security Policy provides a forum for discussion of the broadening
spectrum of security issues emerging in the post-Cold War world.
Its aim is not only to examine the technical and political issues
of arms control and disarmament but also to discuss the security
implications of ethnic conflict, nationalism, economic decline and
underdevelopment, environmental degradation, mass migration of refugees
and drug trafficking. A refereed journal, Contemporary Security
Policy has an important role in the debate over security and security
agreements in contemporary international relations.
Three issues per year: April, August,
December
The South
African Defence Review and the Redefinition - The Parameters of
the National Defence Debate: Towards a Post-Modern Military?
Dr (Col) R M Williams
South African defence planning has undergone
dramatic changes in the past five years. Hitherto the preserve of
a small cadre of military technocrats, it is now managed in an inclusive
and transparent manner including a plethora of role-players ranging
from legislators to members of civil society. This consensual mode
of policy formulation has immensely enriched the defence debate
and has introduced a range of concepts and strategies into the South
African discourse that were hitherto excluded from consideration.
Yet, notwithstanding these developments, many of the key concepts
underpinning South African defence planning, force design and weapons
acquisition are increasingly inappropriate to the country's defence
needs. The key organizing principle in South African defence planning
remains the focus on the primary function as the major force design
and budgetary driver. This perspective is critiqued from an historical,
political and practical perspective. It is suggested, in this article,
that notwithstanding the immense strides made in opening the defence
debate to a wide range of hitherto marginalized role-players, a
new conceptual architecture needs to be developed to enable South
African defence planners in particular, and defence planners in
developing countries in general, to design forces that are more
appropriate to their strategic environment and less of a 'mirror'
of the armed forces of the developed world.
Issue 21.1
The United States and Humanitarian Demining
in Eritrea: Training the Trainer, 1995-1997
Peter Clemens
The United States and Humanitarian Demining
in Eritrea: Training the Trainer, 1995-1997, focuses on efforts
by US Special Operations Command for Central Command (SOCCENT) to
develop an Eritrean capability to safely locate and remove land
mines. In 1991, after a 30-year civil war with Ethiopia, Eritrea
gained its independence. The conflict, marked by trench warfare
and the prolific use of land mines, left Eritrea with a daunting
landmine problem which threatened social and economic recovery.
Compounding this dismal situation was the scarcity of skilled manpower,
training, equipment, and funds to conduct demining. Starting in
1994 SOCCENT undertook a military assistance programme to develop
Eritrean capabilities to conduct demining. Over three years SOCCENT
supported a humanitarian demining programme which created an indigenous
Eritrean capability to locate and neutralize land mines. Assessments
are made on whether SOCCENT's training programme was an appropriate
response given the severe constraints on resources and the difficulty
in the post-Cold War era of conducting military operations in countries
emerging from decades of war.
Issue 21.1
Defence Diplomacy and Security Sector Reform
Alice Hills
The proposals for security sector reform
(SSR) contained within the new military mission of defence diplomacy
suggest that important elements in the mission are probably flawed.
Defence diplomacy is a laudable aim, but current proposals for SSR
suggest it represents an over-extension of existing military business.
Three general dangers are identified. First, by being based on a
partial understanding of the linkages between security and other
aspects of British government policy, defence and security policy
may become the subject of an experiment in inter-departmental co-operation.
Second, the nature of the security sector in the developing world
may be misjudged. Third, lessons learned from earlier relevant British
and American experience may be undervalued.
Issue 21.1
Will Form Lead to Function? Institutional
Enlargement and the Creation of a European Security and Defence Identity
Emil Kirchner and James Sperling
A European Security and Defence Identity
(ESDI) still remains more an aspiration than a concrete achievement
of the European Union (EU). We argue that the emergence of an effective
ESDI is contingent upon the ability of the Western European Union
(WEU) to act as a hinge between NATO and the EU. In this article,
we identify five themes defining the problem of institutional expansion
in the European security space; review the main organisational developments
of NATO, EU, and ESDI; and explore how a geographical expansion
by both NATO and EU will affect the final form and content of ESDI.
We conclude that an effective ESDI faces any number of barriers,
the most important of which include simmering tensions over the
degree of ESDI autonomy, European complaints about American leadership
and dominance in NATO, a renewed American focus on burden- and risk-sharing,
and deep-seated disagreements over the end-station of a common European
defence.
Issue 21.1
Testing Times: Of Nuclear Tests, Test Bans
and The Framing Of Proliferation
David Mutimer
The conclusion of a Comprehensive Test
Ban Treaty in 1996 is considered one of the crowning achievements
of post-Cold War nuclear non-proliferation. On the other hand, the
open test of nuclear weapons in 1998, first by India and then Pakistan,
is, perhaps, the nadir of non-proliferation efforts. This article
argues that, ironically, these two outcomes are intimately interconnected.
During the Cold War, nuclear testing was framed a disarmament issue.
Since the Gulf War of 1991, issues of nuclear testing have come
to be reframed as part of broad agenda of proliferation control.
This reframing created the conditions in which it was possible in
1996 for the CTBT to be agreed. However, producing a CTBT as part
of the proliferation control agenda, in turn, created the conditions
in which it was possible for India openly to test nuclear weapons,
after more than 20 years of restraint.
Issue 21.1
Nuclear Proliferation: The Evolving Policy
Debate
Darryl Howlett and John Simpson
The debate over nuclear proliferation has
been characterized by two complementary, but sometimes competing,
policies: one resides in the implementation of unilateral initiatives
designed to prevent the dissemination of nuclear weapons and their
related technologies; the other involves international cooperative
attempts to create a nuclear non-proliferation regime. This piece
seeks to trace the development of these two policies, particularly
over the last two decades, and assess the way the focus of this
debate has moved between different regions, states and functional
issues. In this context, it also addresses totally unanticipated
proliferation problems, such as the consequences of the collapse
of the Soviet Union. Finally, an attempt is made to project the
debate over nuclear proliferation policies into the future and,
especially, to assess the potential impact of new military technologies
on this debate.
Issue 20.3
Watersheds in Perception and Knowledge
Chris C Demchak
Moving from a dominating super power competition
to the fractiousness of multi-state conflicts, the past 20 years
have provided a watershed for the development and the global perception
of the implications of new military technologies. In the middle
of the period, one super power imploded politically without nuclear
or conventional war while an undeclared war in a periphery state
(Iraq 1991) provided at first blush an early exemplar of new warfare
based on computerized knowledge. Today computers are increasingly
seen to be coming close to solving the age-old military problem
of not knowing enough when decisively engaged in battle. While most
militaries remain today largely conventional forces, beliefs in
the promises of computerized military technologies are spreading
rapidly among the global military community's leaders. Unless the
perceptions are tested and shown wanting in war, expectations of
war and military needs must change accordingly. This piece reflects
upon the evolution of military technology across major nations in
terms of how events have changed the perceived rankings of military
needs and technological choices. It explains briefly how the old
technology triad of guns, bombs and nukes has widened to include
'information' as a destructive, or at least disruptive, weapon.
Simultaneously a reweighting of six basic military needs has emerged
among leaders of the global military community, from an emphasis
on lethality, reach and resupply to one in which a more equal weight
given to historically less emphasized needs for accuracy, legitimacy,
and speed/timeliness. Finally, Demchak suggests the logically likely
endgame of modernizing militaries with networked information technology.
Issue 20.3
Spectator Sport Warfare
Colin McInnes
Force continues to be used on a regular
basis by the West. But major wars between Western industrialized
powers are obsolete. When Western states now use force they do so
from afar, involving directly only a limited number of representatives
- mostly the armed forces of the state - and with minimal risks
of escalation. The majority spectate from a safe distance courtesy
of the globalized media, empathizing but not experiencing, sympathizing
but not suffering. Strategies for the use of force emphasize minimizing
costs and risks, most clearly through the coercive use of air power
but also through the adoption of manoeuvre-based strategies and
an emphasis upon technology (including the promise of a Revolution
in Military Affairs). The experience of war for the West has therefore
changed over this century from one of total war to one of a spectator
sport.
Issue 20.3
International Peace and Security at a Multilateral
Moment: What We Seem to Know, What We Don't, and Why
Craig N Murphy and Thomas G Weiss
Convinced that global security issues have
changed in the post-Cold War era but that the shared understanding
of them has not necessarily kept pace, the authors address what
scholars seem to know, what they do not, and why. They combine personal
reflections with what they learned from a workshop with journal
editors and analysts as well as from responses to an electronic
questionnaire. The five most prominent themes are: the centrality
of armed conflicts and the role of inequality and injustice in them;
multilateral peace operations; poor understanding of new threats;
the difficulties in avoiding a US-centric focus; and the construction
of sovereignty. The authors speculate that future security studies
scholarship increasingly will: be cross-disciplinary; emphasize
both normative and institutional dimensions; focus on a wide range
of actors; and take non-military threats seriously.
Issue 20.3
Strategic Implications of the End of the
Cold War
John Roper
This study examines the impact of the end
of the Cold War on national and regional strategies, and on international
institutions. It argues that the habits of cooperation instilled
during the Cold War have proved very beneficial to Western Europe
in its aftermath, that the United States has been raised to a new
level, that Africa has suffered through increased marginalization,
and that NATO rather than the UN has benefited institutionally the
most from the changes. But perhaps most significantly, the article
argues that fluidity is the key concept in post-Cold War strategy,
and that this has undermined certainty and the willingness to offer
prediction.
Issue 20.3
The Increasing Insecurity of Security Studies
Steve Smith
This essay examines the emergence and development
of non-traditional approaches to security over the past twenty years.
Seven distinct areas of security studies that are not related to
the predominant neo-neo synthesis in international relations are
identified and examined. What is important is the connection of
security studies to the broader development of the discipline of
international relations. That is, without the emergence of non-realist/liberal
thought in international relations, security studies would be much
narrower today.
Issue 20.3
Liberalist and Realist Security Studies
at 2000: Two Decades of Progress?
Patrick Morgan
Over the past 20 years not only have there
been a number of enormous changes in the nature of international
politics, but there has been substantial development in realist
and liberal thought. However, the connection between events and
theory has been discouraging. Realism and liberalism have had very
little success in predicting world events, and have instead focussed
on coming closer together. This tendency to blend realist and liberalist
thought is unhelpful, as they examine different issues that might
be termed international politics and transnational community politics.
It is thus important to keep our concepts clear and, above all,
to have more respect for the influence of time.
Issue 20.3
Security Studies for the Next Millennium:
Quo Vadis?
Edward Kolodziej
This article is divided into two parts.
The first identifies three disquieting outcomes of the security
debate since the end of the Cold War: (1) no one paradigm can explain
what actors mean by security; (2) no one method is appropriate for
the study of security; and (3) no one solution, notably countervailing
force and coercive threats, can resolve security dilemmas. The second
part poses the question of what security systems are likely to advance
world peace as the lodestar for security studies. Placing security
within the larger context of governance of what is an emerging world
society for the first time in human evolution, the discussion exposes
the inherent flaws of prevailing solutions to violence and threats
of the nation-state, world markets, and democratization and human
rights as responses to the imperatives of global order, welfare,
and legitimacy.
Issue 20.3
'Change and Insecurity' Reconsidered
Barry Buzan
Nearly 20 years ago in a chapter titled
'Change and Insecurity: A Critique of Strategic Studies', Buzan
argued that Strategic Studies suffered from 'hectic empiricism',
an underconceptualization of security, and a bias in favour of the
status quo powers. Reconsidering that paper, he argues that hectic
empiricism has become an even more powerful force, changing not
just the day to day subject matter of the field, but redefining
the concept of security. Military, materialist Strategic Studies
has given way to a wider, methodologically plural Security Studies,
and the relative simplicities of the Cold War landscape have been
transformed into the complexities of the 'two worlds' one. The essay
argues that the shift from a more realist to a more liberal international
system has put change at the centre of security, raising a host
of awkward questions about the traditional status quo orientation
of the field.
Issue 20.3
Germany's Mediterranean Challenge
Andreas Jacobs and Carlo Masala
The notion that past military experiences
weigh heavily on current security policy-making in Germany is surely
indisputable. The task of actually identifying the impact of history
on contemporary policy is, however, not easy. One way of tackling
this is by mobilizing the concept of strategic culture which goes
some way in assessing the relevance of the past on the present.
Crucially an understanding of German strategic culture projects
a picture of what 'history qualifies Germany to do'. This article
attempts to employ the notion of German strategic culture, seeing
it as a vital tool to understanding elements of both continuity
and change in German security policy since the ending of the Cold
War. What will be argued here is that due to the make-up of West
German strategic culture it acts as both a constraining and facilitating
force upon policy behaviour.
Issue 20.2
Revisiting the Global Response to Non-proliferation
Violations in Iraq: Tracing the Historical Political Roots
Maria Teresa Oxenstierna
This article examines in detail the Nuclear
Suppliers Group's negotiating efforts to address nuclear dual-use
technology and full-scope safeguards. In outlining the regime's
reform, it argues that the recent NSG successes resulted from sustained
US leadership preceding the negotiations, bolstered by post-Gulf
War UN inspections in Iraq. However, the new evidence presented
here will trace back to the 1970s the US governmental efforts in
the creation of these non-proliferation initiatives. Most literature
on the subject draws the conclusion that the world responded collectively
to Iraq's intransigence almost immediately, within two years of
Iraq's military defeat. Whilst true, the genesis of these non-proliferation
successes merit closer scrutiny, as several decades of quiet yet
consistent American-led policy and technical deliberations laid
the foundations for a swift conclusion to the Nuclear Suppliers
Group negotiations after the Gulf War.
Issue 20.2
The Survival Strategy of North Korea and
a Road to the Unification of Korea
Chan Y Yoo
In a so-called post-Cold War international
system, North Korea is in danger of systemic collapse, and is mobilizing
every possible means to stay alive. Its dilemma cannot be resolved,
however, by clinging to anachronistic policies. At some point, Kim
Jong-il's rule will be challenged as reformist elites replace weak
leadership and envisage serious liberalization and internal reform
as an alternative means of survival. In that process, inter-Korean
relations will move into a co-operative stage, followed by political
reconciliation, arms control, exchange and co-operation. This will
be an intermediate stage towards eventual unification. What South
Korea needs for final victory in this situation are flexible but
coherent policy options toward North Korea, which must be carefully
re-examined in the light of the two countries' goals, environment,
capabilities and limitations.
Issue 20.2
German Strategic Culture in Action
Arthur Hoffmann and Kerry Longhurst
This article posits the importance of strategic
culture as a tool to understand elements of both continuity and
change in contemporary German security policies. German strategic
culture was born out of the disasters of the Second World War, the
result of what was both demanded of the new Federal Republic and
what could be internally offered. This admixture of old and new
gave rise to two principle constituents; foundational elements -
the basal fabric of the strategic culture of core values, together
with regulatory practices - the tangible sets of policies and institutions
which performed the task of relating the foundational elements to
the external environment. At the close of the Cold War West German
strategic culture came in to flux with the international environment,
this tension gave rise to a number of policy changes, most notably
the expansion of the Bundeswehr's remit together with marked elements
of continuity in the practice of conscription. By mobilizing the
concept of German strategic culture this article attempts to explain
this situation seeing strategic culture in action as both a facilitating
and restraining force.
Issue 20.2
Central Europe Transformed: Security and
Cooperation on NATO's New Frontier
Andrew Cottey
With their accession to NATO in March 1999,
and within the next decade likely also the EU, Poland, the Czech
Republic and Hungary will have achieved their central strategic
goal of integration with the West and overcome their historic position
as vulnerable states located in the 'grey zone' between Europe's
great powers. As they integrate with NATO and the EU, Poland, the
Czech Republic and Hungary are intensifying efforts to build cooperation
with their eastern and southern neighbours. Contrary to the warnings
of critics, NATO and EU enlargement are helping to promoting cooperation
and the resolution of disputes between Central and Eastern European
states, not creating new 'dividing lines'. EU enlargement, however,
is more likely than NATO enlargement to create 'dividing lines'.
There is a strong case for further enlargement of NATO and the EU,
but more attention needs to be directed to managing the consequences
of EU enlargement.
Issue 20.2
Research Notes: Hostage Negotiations and
Control of the Media
Ivar Hellberg
Issue 20.1
Research Notes: Ideology, Politics and
Proliferation: Learning from the Rise and Fall of Brazil
Aaron Karp
Issue 20.1
Trusting Flexible Friends: The Dangers
of Flexibility in NATO and the West European Union/European Union
Joanne Wright
The post-Cold War era has seen NATO and
the WEU/EU expand both their mandates and membership. The justification
offered for this expansion is the need for flexibility. Flexibility
does have advantages, especially in times of rapid change. However,
it also brings dangers, the most serious being uncertainty which
generates mistrust. Uncertainty can stem from the mismatch of institutional
membership and opt-out provisions. In addition, flexibility can
also lead to coalition building and tensions between 'ins ' and
'outs'. These dangers must be carefully managed to counter any erosion
of trust or interpretation that these developments are multilateral
smokescreens for the pursuit of national interest and free-riding
by the privileged few rather than the actions of flexible friends.
This can best be done by stressing norms of solidarity and trust.
Issue 20.1
Fragmentation and Proliferation? The Fate
of the Soviet Union's Offensive Biological Weapons Programme
Anthony Rimmington
This essay explores the consequences of
the unravelling of the Soviet offensive biological weapons programme.
It demonstrates that the military and civil components of the biopharmaceutical
industry are still inextricably interlinked. Evidence is provided
that since the break-up of the USSR there has been a significant
increase in the number of countries in possession of technologies
required for the development and production of offensive biological
weapons. In addition evidence is provided that there is a considerable
threat of biological terrorism in the former Soviet Union and a
number of cases of unauthorized access to BW facilities are documented.
It is also argued that the proliferation of companies based on former
BW facilities may present a threat with regard to the proliferation
of sensitive technologies. The article concludes that institutional
fortification of FSU governments is of crucial importance if conversion
and adherence to international treaties is to be transformed from
a formal commitment into reality.
Issue 20.1
Article XI of the Chemical Weapons Convention:
Between Irrelevance and Indispensability
Jean Pascal Zanders and Elisabeth M French
This article analyses the significance
of Article XI of the Chemical Weapons Convention in achieving global
acceptance of this treaty. In general, a state's intention to join
or to refrain from joining the treaty is dependent upon whether
relative or absolute gains are the objective; this issue is context
relative, meaning that various factors may be involved, depending
both on the region under consideration as well as the particular
time in question. Concepts such as the security deficit and the
regional security complex are introduced, as well as the notion
of functional equivalence. The CWC, as a universal disarmament treaty,
must consider the security dynamics on the regional and sub-regional
levels which may cause states in certain situations to evaluate
their individual positions relative to other states in the region.
Defection from the treaty, or a failure by a state to join the treaty,
can be motivated by that state's desire to obtain potential relative
gains. Thus, the goal of universal adherence to the CWC is a means
to discourage the pursuit of potential relative gains a state may
anticipate obtaining by defecting from, or not joining, the treaty.
Issue 20.1
Testing the Salience of Transnational Issues
for International Security: The Case of Narcotics Production and Trafficking
Joshua S Krasna
The post-Cold War expansion of the definition
of security has added the protection of societal values and of way
of life, to the traditional concern with the state's physical security
and survival. In addition, with the end of the Cold War, transnational
issues have moved to the fore of Western security doctrine. A test
for security salience of transnational issues is presented, by adding
to this definition two criteria developed for defining a phenomenon
as one of relevance to security: association with the deliberate,
organized and purposeful use (or threat of use) of violence by individuals,
organizations, or political entities against a state's government,
territory, institutions, nationals and vital interests; or manipulability
through the use of military instruments of state power. This test
is applied to one transnational issue - the international production
and trafficking of narcotics- which is shown to pose a threat to
national security, by traditional, restrictive definitions of 'security'
as well as by the broader ones prevalent in the wake of the Cold
War. The results of the analysis of the case study permit the construction
of a rough, preliminary ranking of other transnational issues, by
their saliency for national and international security.
Issue 20.1
Contemporary British Security Policy: Surveying
the Nuclear Future: Which Way from Here?
Darryl Howlett and John Simpson
It has been claimed that since 1990 a second
'nuclear age' has emerged. One characteristic of this second 'nuclear
age' has been that the concepts and literature on nuclear weaponry
generated by the first 'nuclear age' have been undermined by the
changed context within which nuclear weapons are situated. As a
consequence, a range of thinking has now appeared in the academic,
governmental and NGO communities concerning the future of these
weapons. This article seeks to describe and categorise this spectrum
of ideas, starting with past attempts at categorisation and then
offering a classification of the different approaches. Its scope
encompasses the literature concerning low salience nuclear worlds,
de-alerting, virtual nuclear arsenals and disarmament. The article
concludes by arguing that the survey demonstrates that two issues
need further examination: first, the linkages between political
and perceptual factors and the nuclear arms limitation and elimination
process; and, second, what precisely 'elimination' of nuclear weapons
means in practice, given both the current levels of nuclear knowledge,
technology and materials, and the difficulties of distinguishing
in some cases between nuclear and non-nuclear-weapon states. It
also suggests that there is a need to create an international policy
consensus on the way forward in this area, otherwise the result
may be a global nuclear 'free-for-all'.
Issue 20.1
Croatian Arms for Sale: Evolution, Structure
and Export Potential of Croatia's Defence Industry
Pjer Simunovic
This article examines Croatia's arms export
capabilities and ambitions in the context the politico-military,
economic and technological components of its defence industry and
against the background of today's global defence industry and arms
trade. It provides an overview of the formation of Croatia's defence
industry and analyses the country's defence budget, procurement,
cross-border military-industrial co-operation and defence products.
Issue 19.3
How the Four Powers Accomplished German
Unification: An Assessment of Recent Findings from a German Perspective
Ulrich Albrecht
The remarkable fact about the process of
German unification following the 'change' (Wende) in the GDR is
that it happened at all, and at such pace. A majority of political
actors were opposed to unification. In 1990, three of the four victorious
powers who retained responsibility for 'Germany as a whole' had
resolved to resist unification. Along with these actors other powers,
Poland for instance, also rejected unification. This article examines
the diplomatic processes which secured German unification.
Issue 19.3
The Logic of US Military Interventions
in the post-Cold War Era
Benjamin Miller
This article challenges the conventional
wisdom about the illogic and incoherence of US recent military interventions.
It argues that in contrast to widespread opinion, there is a clear
logic to post-Cold War interventions, even if it does not amount
to a preconceived and purposive grand strategy. Indeed, the US has
followed, whether consciously or not, the realist logic of costs
and benefits. Namely, this article shows that the sources of US
intervention in regional crises are derived from different combinations
of incentives and constraints in different regions. More specifically,
the intensity of US interests at stake and the intensity of the
regional constraints on intervention (as reflected by the estimated
costs of intervention, especially in terms of casualties) best account
for the scope of US military interventions in the post-Cold War
era.
Issue 19.3
Controlling Anti-personnel Landmines
Stephen Biddle, Julia Klare, Johnathan Wallis and
Ivan Oelrich
Perhaps 80 to 110 million unexploded landmines
are now scattered over 64 countries world-wide. These mines kill
or maim as many as 2,000 people a month. A variety of initiatives
have been proposed to reduce this toll, the most prominent of which
has been an international movement to ban anti-personnel mines.
This paper evaluates the merits of such a ban by analyzing its asserted
benefits and costs. We find that both the benefits and the costs
have often been overestimated. There are important limitations on
a ban's ability to limit mine-laying in the developing world, reducing
a ban's likely benefits. Conversely, the military effectiveness
lost by denying Western armies access to mines will often be smaller
than many mine ban opponents assert, reducing a ban's likely costs.
Landmine arms control is thus a closer call on the analytical merits
than either side in the current debate would suggest.
Issue 19.3
The UN and NGOs: Humanitarian Interventions
in Future Conflicts
Anthony McDermott
The nature of future wars - mainly intrastate
wars - and the erosion of state sovereignty will put increasing
and different pressures on the UN and non-governmental organizations
(NGOs) to find the best way to intervene in these crises. Historically
UN agencies and NGOs have formally co-ordinated their activities
badly both in the field and in New York, despite some less formal
and uneasy co-operation on practical and financial levels for some
time. Persistent financial problems at the UN and Secretary-General
Kofi Annan's reform proposals of 1997 have yet to improve the structure
of humanitarian intervention on the UN side. The NGOs need to define
their aims more coherently. The UN - its humanitarian agencies and
peacekeeping soldiers - and NGOs should share more information about
their training, experiences and motivations. Each side needs the
other as they become increasingly intertwined in complex interventions
and involved in longer term civil administrative activities and
economic development.
Issue 19.3
New Tactics, Same Objectives: France's
Relationship with NATO
A Treacher
Issue 19.2
Oil Security: Potential Threats
Gawdat Bahgat
For the last several decades oil has become
the main world source of energy. After discussing oil supplies from
the North Sea and the Caspian Basin, the study concludes that the
Persian Gulf will increase its share of the world production in
the near future. This raises the question of security in the region.
Three potential sources of threats are analysed: the challenge from
Iran and Iraq; border disputes between the six Arab monarchies;
and domestic sources of instability (questions of succession and
demographics). The main contention is that in the short run the
oil supplies from the region are relatively safe. But in the long
run much work needs to be done to secure their stability.
Issue 19.2
US Anti-terrorism Policy: The Clinton Administration
Thomas J Badey
The World Trade Center bombing in February
1993 had a profound impact on the formation of the foreign policy
agenda of the Clinton administration. Elected on a domestic policy
platform, the new President was faced with the most significant
incident of international terrorism against American interests since
the Lockerbie bombing in 1988. In the power vacuum left by dissipating
cold-war antagonisms, the fight against international terrorism
became a national security priority and a key foreign policy element.
The continuing emphasis on terrorism has resulted in the development
of a three-track anti-terrorism policy. At what may be perceived
as a critical juncture, in the wake of TWA flight 800 disaster and
at the onset of a second presidential term, increasing funds were
allocated to fight terrorism. Given the growing political and economic
significance of this policy area the antiterrorist policy of the
Clinton administration clearly merits closer examination.
Issue 19.2
Burma's Defence Expenditure and Arms Industries
Andrew Selth
Even before the 1962 coup d'état which
brought them to power, Burma's armed forces played a dominant role
in the country's economy. Since the creation of the State Law and
Order Restoration Council (SLORC) in 1988, this role has grown and
the annual defence expenditure has risen dramatically. Much of this
increased expenditure has been devoted to the expansion and modernization
of the armed forces and the development of the defence industries.
At the same time, the armed forces have consolidated their independent
economic base through a range of new business ventures. There are
no reliable statistics available, however, and so complex are the
armed forces' sources of funding that it is unlikely even the SLORC
itself knows the full cost of the country's military sector. The
entire country has become a massive resource base on which the armed
forces can draw, not only to sustain themselves but also to perpetuate
military rule.
Issue 19.2
Sympathy with the Devil? The Khmer Rouge
and the Politics of Consent in the Cambodian Peacekeeping Operation
David Roberts
Issue 19.2
Conclusions: Security Culture and the Non-Proliferation,
Arms Control and Disarmament Agenda
Keith Krause
Issue 19.1 - Special Issue
Culture And Security: Multilateralism, Arms
Control and Security Building
Regional Culture and the NACD in the Middle
East
Gabriel Ben-Dor
Issue 19.1 - Special Issue
Culture And Security: Multilateralism, Arms
Control and Security Building
Cross-Cultural Dimensions of the Non-Proliferation
and Arms Control Dialogue in Latin America
Hal Klepak
Issue 19.1 - Special Issue
Culture And Security: Multilateralism, Arms
Control and Security Building
Constructing National Security: Culture
and Identity in Indian Arms Control and Disarmament Practice
Andrew Latham
Issue 19.1 - Special Issue
Culture And Security: Multilateralism, Arms
Control and Security Building
Culture Matters: Chinese Approaches to
Arms Control and Disarmament
Jing-Dong Yuan
Issue 19.1 - Special Issue
Culture And Security: Multilateralism, Arms
Control and Security Building
Culture, Security, Multilateralism: The
'ASEAN Way' and Regional Order
Amitav Acharya
Issue 19.1 - Special Issue
Culture And Security: Multilateralism, Arms
Control and Security Building
Constructing Non-Proliferation and Arms
Control: The Norms of Western Practice
Keith Krause and Andrew Latham
Issue 19.1 - Special Issue
Culture And Security: Multilateralism, Arms
Control and Security Building
Cross-Cultural Dimensions of Multilateral
Non-Proliferation and Arms Control Dialogues: An Overview
Keith Krause
Issue 19.1 - Special Issue
Culture And Security: Multilateralism, Arms
Control and Security Building
Regional Security: ASEAN, Asian Values
and Southeast Asian Security in the New World Order
M L Smith and D M Jones
Issue 18.3
British Security Policy: Secrecy, Accountability
and British Arms Exports: Issues for the Post-Scott Era
Davina Miller and Mark Phythian
Issue 18.3
British Security Policy: The Decommissioning
of Terrorist Weapons and the Peace Process in Northern Ireland
Colin McInnes
Issue 18.3
Strategic Thinking And Proliferation Control:
Ballistic Missile Proliferation and the MTCR: A Ten-Year Review
Dinshaw Mistry
Issue 18.3
Strategic Thinking And Proliferation Control:
Offence-Defence Theory and the Security Dilemma: The Problem with
Marginalizing the Context
A Butfoy
Issue 18.3
Strategic Thinking And Proliferation Control:
Invisible Weapons: Visible Choices: Unpacking the New Deterrence
Matthew Woods
Issue 18.3
The Politics of Verification: Why 'How
Much?' is Not Enough
Nancy W Gallagher
Issue 18.2 - Special Issue
Arms Control: New Approaches to Theory and Policy
The Impact of Govermental Context on Negotiation
and Implementation: Constraints and Opportunities for Change
Amy Sands
Issue 18.2 - Special Issue
Arms Control: New Approaches to Theory and Policy
Nuclear Arms Control through Multilateral
Negotiations
Rebecca Johnson
Issue 18.2 - Special Issue
Arms Control: New Approaches to Theory and Policy
Beyond Deterrence, Defence, and Arms Control
Gloria Duffy
Issue 18.2 - Special Issue
Arms Control: New Approaches to Theory and Policy
A New Role for Transparency
Ann M Florini
Issue 18.2 - Special Issue
Arms Control: New Approaches to Theory and Policy
Arms Control in the Information Age
Emily O Goldman
Issue 18.2 - Special Issue
Arms Control: New Approaches to Theory and Policy
Bridging the Gaps on Arms Control
Nancy W Gallagher
Issue 18.2 - Special Issue
Arms Control: New Approaches to Theory and Policy
The US Arms Industry: The Contemporary
Restructuring of the US Arms Industry: Toward 'Agile Manufacturing'
A Latham
Issue 18.1
Arms Control: Landmines in Southern Africa:
Regional Initiatives for Clearance and Control
K B Harpviken
Issue 18.1
Arms Control: Arms Control in the Emerging
Strategic Environment
B Roberts
Issue 18.1
Regional Security: Asean and Confidence-Building:
Continuity and Change After the Cold War
M Chalmers
Issue 18.1
Regional Security: Reconstructing Russian
Security: Cutting NATO Enlargement Down to Size
E A Kolodziej and John W R Lepingwell
Issue 18.1
Regional Security: European Security in
the 1990s and Beyond: The Implications of the Accession of Cyprus
and Malta to the European Union
John Redmond and Roderick Pace
Issue 17.3
Non-Proliferation and Arms Control: Charting
a Middle Course: The Clinton Administration, TMD, and the Main Treaty
Brian P Curran
Issue 17.3
Non-Proliferation and Arms Control: US
Non-Proliferation Policy and Iran: Constraints and Opportunities
Jacqueline Simon
Issue 17.3
Non-Proliferation and Arms Control: Strengthening
the Biological Weapons Convention: An Urgent Task
Oliver Thränert
Issue 17.3
Non-Proliferation and Arms Control: And
All That: Multinational Diplomacy and the Nuclear Non-Proliferation
Regime
Emily Bailey, Darryl Howlett and John Simpson
Issue 17.3
Review Article: Afghanistan
Edwin Bacon
Issue 17.2 - Special Issue: Perspectives on
National Security
Disarmament and Arms Limitation: The Case
for Regionalism
Dimitris Bourantonis and Marios Evrivriades
Issue 17.2 - Special Issue: Perspectives on
National Security
Defence Policy and Integration in Western
Europe
Anand Menon
Issue 17.2 - Special Issue: Perspectives on
National Security
Anti-Internationalism and the New American
Foreign Policy Debate
David H Dunn
Issue 17.2 - Special Issue: Perspectives on
National Security
French Nuclear Strategy and European Deterrence:
'Les Rendez-vous Manqu?s'
Pascal Boniface
Issue 17.2 - Special Issue: Perspectives on
National Security
Proliferation, Export Control and Russian
National Security
D L Averre
Issue 17.2 - Special Issue: Perspectives on
National Security
Research Notes: The Netherlands: Reorientating
its Defence Priorities
G Wyn Rees
Issue 17.1
Theoretical Approaches: Beyond Bosnia:
Etho-national Diasporas and Security in Europe
Victor Gray
Issue 17.1
Regional Security: Disarmament in Mozambique:
Learning the Lessons of Experience
Stephen M Hill
Issue 17.1
Regional Security: Arms Control Between
the Two Koreas: Seeking the Path to a Deterrence-Based Détente
Tong Whan Park
Issue 17.1
Biological Weapons: From Military to Industrial
Complex? The Conversion of Military Microbiological Facilities in
the Russian Federation
Anthony Rimmington
Issue 17.1
Biological Weapons: Biological Weapons
and Arms Control
Milton Leitenberg
Issue 17.1
The 1995 NPT Review and Extension Conference:
An Overview
Ben Sanders
Issue 16.3
Prevention is Better than Cure: Pre-empting
Inspection related Disputes under the Chemical Weapons Convention
Robert J Matthews and Timothy L H McCormack
Issue 16.3
Déjà Vu: Familiar Trends
in Russian Strategic Thought
Jennifer G Mathers
Issue 16.3
NATO and the International Politics of
Ethnic Conflict: Perspectives on Theory and Policy
David Carment
Issue 16.3
Peacebuilding as Developmentalism: Concepts
from Disaster Research
Michael Pugh
Issue 16.3
'Message in a Bottle'? Theory and Praxis
in Critical Security Studies
Richard Wyn Jones
Issue 16.3
Building Confidence and Security on the
Korean Peninsula
Suk Jung Lee and Michael Sheehan
Issue 16.3
Politics of Weapons: British Defence Exports:
Trends, Policy and Security Implications
Neil Cooper
Issue 16.2
Politics of Weapons: Waste in Weapons Acquisition:
How the Americans Do It All Wrong
Theo Farrell
Issue 16.2
Peacekeeping in the Post-Cold War Era:
the United Nations and the Cambodian Elections of 1993
Stephen J Randall
Issue 16.2
Obstacles Towards a Regional Control Mechanism:
Israel's View of Ballistic Missile Proliferation in the Peace Era
Reuven Pedatzur
Issue 16.2
Regional Security: France's Nuclear Posture:
Adjusting to the Post-Cold War Era
David G Haglund
Issue 16.2
Appendix: Beyond Verex: A Legally Binding
Compliance Regime for the Biological and Toxin Weapons Convention
The Federation of American Scientists
Issue 16.2
Impediment to Proliferation? Analysing
the Biological Weapons Convention
Marie Isabelle Chevrier
Issue 16.2
Moscow, Washington and the Missile Technology
Control Regime
Charles C Petersen
Issue 16.2
China's Policy Towards Nuclear Arms Control
in the Post-Cold War Era
J Mohan Malik
Issue 16.2
Documents: Arms Control and the Peace Process:
The Egyptian Perspective
Mounir Zahran
Issue 16.1
Documents: A Farewell to Chemical Arms:
Address at the Signing Ceremony of the Chemical Weapons Convention
Treaty
Shimon Peres
Issue 16.1
The Regional Context: The International
Politics of a Middle Eastern Arms Control Regime
Efraim Inbar and Shmuel Sandler
Issue 16.1
The Regional Context: Confidence- and Security-
Building Masures in the Arab-Israel Context
Yair Evron
Issue 16.1
The Regional Context: Domestic Aspects
of Strategic Postures: The Past and Future in a Middle East Nuclear
Regime
Etel Solingen
Issue 16.1
The International Agenda: Ballistic Missles
in the Middle East: Realities, Omens and Arms Control Options
Aaron Karp
Issue 16.1
The International Agenda: Towards Understanding
Chemical Warfare Weapons Proliferation
Jean-Pascal Zaunders
Issue 16.1
The International Agenda: Israel and the
Changing Global Non-Proliferation Regime: The NPT Extension, CTBT
and Fissile Cut-Off
Gerald M Steinberg
Issue 16.1
The International Agenda: The Nuclear Issue
in the Middle East in a New World Order
Avner Cohen
Issue 16.1
Russia and a Conventional Arms Non-Proliferation
Regime in the Middle East
Yitzhak Klein
Issue 16.1
Prospects for a Common Arms Transfer Policy
From the European Union to the Middle East.
Michael Brzoska
Issue 16.1
The Global Environment American Hegemony,
Regional Security and Proliferation in the post-Cold War International
System
Robert J Lieber
Issue 16.1
September 2002
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